Background: escalating security risk disrupted the Suez corridor. Signals Almanac would have used: shipping alerts, insurance pricing, freight indices, prediction markets and policy announcements. Decision alternatives: reroute, pre-book capacity, insure exposure or rebalance inventory.

Counterfactual: earlier warning supports a controlled reroute, reducing service failures, carrying cost and exposure to volatile transit times.

References: Reuters coverage · European Commission transport updates · IMF trade analyses · academic shipping-risk papers.